Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 7.826191 8.947354 10.185413 11.656137 13.358472 15.270290 17.584816
2025-07-20 6.412973 7.887286 9.647534 11.912338 14.761061 18.241067 22.838289
2025-07-27 5.662147 7.340947 9.462166 12.355953 16.227016 21.263134 28.370572
2025-08-03 4.869659 6.582392 8.846040 12.082286 16.631931 22.861640 32.143574
2025-08-10 4.299006 6.022667 8.390646 11.916304 17.092171 24.504898 36.092226
2025-08-17 3.846898 5.562270 8.001032 11.765810 17.511380 26.079923 40.070084
2025-08-24 3.464990 5.154294 7.631291 11.582394 17.829048 27.496352 43.926235
2025-08-31 3.132664 4.781784 7.268870 11.356872 18.033425 28.726032 47.589058
2025-09-07 3.004895 4.706165 7.344979 11.814820 19.357859 31.864160 54.780400
2025-09-14 2.822262 4.524163 7.232075 11.946410 20.143898 34.175243 60.804198
2025-09-21 2.628848 4.305502 7.036798 11.914312 20.635477 36.014767 66.181083
2025-09-28 2.434911 4.068034 6.787279 11.759851 20.886302 37.437583 70.930749
2025-10-05 2.347733 4.006853 6.834992 12.140497 22.156801 40.882553 80.086156
2025-10-12 2.249261 3.917084 6.824125 12.412043 23.250306 44.113130 89.247997
2025-10-19 2.187694 3.886663 6.914079 12.875930 24.755285 48.300886 100.950724
2025-10-26 2.025645 3.659809 6.626521 12.589839 24.747419 49.453432 106.284889
2025-11-02 1.893875 3.478421 6.407986 12.416329 24.945066 51.040827 112.779546
2025-11-09 1.775970 3.313861 6.207586 12.259019 25.156607 52.672876 119.584187
2025-11-16 1.664170 3.152417 6.000122 12.067302 25.272914 54.105072 126.103110
2025-11-23 1.556813 2.991631 5.781325 11.831590 25.267901 55.262283 132.105417
2025-11-30 1.534309 2.997455 5.895137 12.310248 26.893061 60.298844 148.481759
2025-12-07 1.477667 2.929817 5.853690 12.447801 27.756631 63.656132 161.037995
2025-12-14 1.408329 2.830954 5.739782 12.414247 28.217861 66.100274 171.530218